From the article:
Microsoft's dominance on the desktop will not be seriously threatened until a technology is introduced that makes the desktop obsolete. Similarly, the iPod and iTunes dominance is not likely be threatened unless a technology happens along that makes its model of buying and listening to music obsolete.I wonder if this is true of all industries, that a specific technology or manufacturer can gain a virtual stranglehold just because they invented the standards and control them. Tivo certainly hasn't proved that, and neither have carmakers. What is it about the tech consumers that makes monopolies so hard to break? Don't get me wrong, I'm not sorry that Apple is on top in this instance, and I don't think MS has a chance of toppling the iPod, but still, even the mighty must fall at some point. I can only hope that Apple, or a company with similarly smart, design-conscious people, will be there to take up the banner for the new paradigm when it arrives. The only thing I'd hate to see is another IBM - soulless, ugly products driven by profits rather than user experience.